蒙奇D路飞
发表于 2015-2-25 21:14:00
<p class="MsoNormal" style="TEXT-INDENT: 28pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><font size="4"><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">就目前邮市行情的参与人数来看，估计不到</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">200</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">万人左右。这近</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">200</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">万人，拥有着邮市主要的流通筹码，市值不到千亿元（人均</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">5</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">万元左右）。之所以说市值千亿元，按目前编年型张总盘子估算，总市值</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">300</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">亿元，约</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">40%</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">筹码可流通（包括可流通的年票内的）计</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">120</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">亿元；小版可流通筹码市值约</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">200</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">亿元；</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">JT</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">编年票品可流通筹码约</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">300</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">亿元；其它几百亿元。实际上，这</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">200</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">万人中，参与度高的即持有筹码在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">10</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">万元以上的，是目前邮市的主力军，估计只有</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">20-50</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">万人。之所以估算目前邮市的主要参与群体和大致市值情况，是想说明，在目前的邮市规模阶段，这</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">200</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">万人手中的筹码，估计未来全部实现</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">3</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">倍以上的涨幅，是完全有可能实现的。因为，邮市的主流品种，完全具备这样的升值空间；而且，邮市，无论它作为投资市场还是收藏市场而言，</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">200</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">万人的群体规模，上升至千万人甚至更大规模，也是完全有可能实现的。至于说怎么实现，暂且不讨论，简单地说，就是要让邮票主流品种能持续升值，升不了值光贬值的东西，谁愿意去玩？我又想起，</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">05</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">、</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">06</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">年时一些朋友在一起就会经常地谈论着股票，到了</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">07</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">年，走在大街上，随时都会听到周围有人在谈论股票。我觉得，现在的情形，跟</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-SIZE: 14pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">06</font></span><span style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "mso-hansi-font-family:";">年时的股市有点象。估计大妈们炒邮的时期，已经不会太远了。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; 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